Scenarios Applying forecasting methods
Human Understanding tech-human evolution
Digital Understanding digital environment evolution
[p] Brugués i Brugués, Alba; Catalan, Arantxa; Jodar, Glòria; Monguet, Josep Maria; and Trejo, Alex (2016) “Consenso online sobre prescripción enfermera entre profesionales de la salud,” Revista de Innovación Sanitaria y Atención Integrada: Vol. 8: Iss. 1, Article 1.
The Online Consensus on nurse prescribing is a model that allows determine, in a health organization, which is the current expectation that diverse health professionals have in relation to the forthcoming regulation of nurse prescribing. The tool has been applied to a group of primary care centers in the southern metropolitan region of Barcelona. Nurses agree but among physicians there isn’t a lot of consensus. The Health Consensus model has been applied in two successive waves with 375 participants. + [Artículo]
One of the interesting things about future is that nobody knows exactly how it is going to be, but if you listen to the right people the noise looks like having some sense. This is exactly the feeling with this article from Fast Company.
Bill Buxton (Microsoft Research) proposes a music analogy for the evolution of design. Design has typically been preoccupied with creating new instruments, but besides how wonderful any one of those instruments might be, the true potential is only realized when they play well together—essentially as one. It is the creativity and skill of the conductor that is essential to that happening.The next “big thing” is not a thing. It is a change in the relationship amongst the things. Without the Conductor’s input, we are on a fast path to hitting the complexity barrier, since the cumulative complexity of a bunch of simple things—regardless of how delightful, simple and desirable they may be—will soon exceed the ability of humans to cope. It is the Conductor who carries the responsibility for the design of those relationships and ensuring that their collective value significantly exceeds the sum of their individual values, and their cumulative complexity is significantly less than the sum of their individual complexities.
All other 17 are as interesting as this one.
[B] Scenario planning: A field guide to the future
Wade, W. (2012). John Wiley & Sons.
A field guide to identify trends that could affect the environment in which we work. It shows how to create plausible scenarios based on uncertainties, and how to describe the evolution from where we are now, to where the scenarios could lead us in the future. +
[B] The future of the mind: The scientific quest to understand, enhance, and empower the mind
Kaku, M. (2015). Anchor Books.
The latest advances in neuroscience and physics reveal a path that, although in the field of research, is full of surprises: telepathy, mental control, avatars, telekinesis, recording of memories and dreams, projecting thoughts and emotions, anong others. But what is interesting is not so much where we will be, but what will be discovered along the way. +
[B] The fourth industrial revolution
Schwab, K. (2017). Crown Business.
Schwab, founder and executive chair of the World Economic Forum, forecasts a fourth industrial revolution. Technologies will impact on all disciplines, economies and industries at an unprecedented pace. +
[n] Design jobs of the future
Labarre, S. co.design. (2016)
One of the interesting things about future is that nobody knows exactly how it is going to be, but if you listen to the right people the noise looks like having some sense. This is exactly the feeling with this article from Fast Company… +
i&R to produce scenarios
Learning to put useful and ordered questions about the future can help to anticipate the use of technology and the market trends. Innovation requires picturing reasonable scenarios to guess eventual market acceptance of new products and services.
Working on STS. Socio-technical scenarios
Working on strategies for sharing future scenarios… +
Working with technology is like living between present and future. Different versions of the technology that will get the success, are available some time before its definite social acceptance and extension. Guessing when and how which particular technology will win the market, that’s the goal.
[wp] Nurse Prescribing Consensus
Brugués, A., Jodar, G., Monguet, JMª., Trejo, A. (2016). RISAI-Revista de Innovación Sanitaria y Atención Integrada, 8(1).
The Online Consensus about nurse prescribing is a model that allows determine the expectation that diverse health professionals have in relation to the forthcoming regulation of nurse prescribing. The tool has been applied first to a group of primary care centers in the southern metropolitan region of Barcelona and then extended to all the health professionals from Catalonia. +
[cp] A Cost assignment in Internet: those who spends, who pays and who charges
Ramirez, M.; Gutierrez, A.; Monguet, JMª; Muñoz, C. (2012). CENTERIS, Conference on ENTERprise Information Systems. Algarve. Elsevier.
There is no doubt that internet is one of the most complex and influent artefacts that human inventive has given. Internet is a “pseudo living system” that will extend capillary on the whole earth activity. It`s like a new planet skin that may give a new dimension to civilization. Future internet is transcendent for the economy and for the evolution of society and people. As Lévy say, we are in a neoPalaeolithic of knowledge, which has just discovered a new silex. Future Internet Drivers is part of a research project from i2Cat , leaded by professors Miquel Ramirez (p) and JMª Monguet (p) that aims at modelling a framework for the understanding of the evolution of internet at the regional level. +
# Ramirez, M.; Gutierrez, A.; Monguet, JMª; Muñoz, C. (2012). An Internet Cost Model, Assignment of Costs Based on Actual Network Use. International Journal of Web Portals (IJWP) Vol 4. IGI Global
# Gonzalez, A.; Alcover, J; Martin, R; Pinyol, F; Gutierrez, A.; Monguet, JMª. (2011). Costing framework for service-oriented future internet architectures. Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Future Internet Technologies – CFI ’11, New York. ACM Press. +
[n] 2050. Not so far.
Una iniciativa del BCD, presentada en la Design Week de Barcelona, pretende reflexionar sobre cómo serán el consumo, el hábitat y la salud en el 2050. +